Football Cash Cow - Free NFL picks and fantasy football advice

NFL Point Game
Fantasy Football
Fantasy Projections

Our Philosophy

Each year we like to play the NFL point game as a way to have an interest in a variety of football games throughout the NFL season.

Our NFL point betting philosophy is very simple: make many small wagers and make them with a knowledgeable buddy.

Typically, my buddy and I start the year with 100-200 total points. Here is our results the last 6 seasons:

Point Game Results
Year	Start Points	End Points	Total Yield (%)	Comments
2008	125	366	192.8%	A solid performance in 2008. We only had 5 negative weeks all season.
2007	125	0	-100.0%	It happens. We just couldn't get our act together the entire season and bet the 95 points we had left on the Super Bowl.
2006	120	161	34.17%	We did end on a high note, but nothing to write home about.
2005	140	420*	200.0%*	This was our third consecutive sucessful season which prompted us to start this website. *We got greedy here and bet 420 points on the Super Bowl and lost.
2004	125	378	202.4%	Going into the Super Bowl we had 198 points... bet it all and won!
2003	150	550	266.7%	Our best season ever. We rattled off 16 straight at one point during weeks 10-12.

Please adhere to the following rules...

You must have a buddy to bet with. Someone to keep you in check and make sure you do not deviate from the plan. Fortunately, we can be just that for you!
You must completely agree on the wager. There may be a week that you and your buddy only agree on 3 or 4 teams. That is fine.
You must diversify your wagers, much like an investment portfolio. We recommend wagering on 5-6 teams a week. We frequently incorporate teasers and parlays into our weekly wagers as well.
Bet more (i.e. 6-10% of available balance) on bets you agree strongly and less (i.e. 1-5% of available balance) on ones you aren't as confident in.
Never bet more that 50% of what you have available in your point balance at any one time.
One bet should never constitute more than 10% of your available balance.
Be patient. There will be some bad weeks, especially early in the year. It's ok; you are not betting more than 50% of your point balance so you can make it up the next week. Our balance typically goes down before it shoots up. As a result, we strongly recommend betting lightly early in the year until you see some trends develop.
You must go find a reputable website to obtain your betting line information from.
Finally, have fun. We use our strategy so we can have a rooting interest in games we would otherwise not care too much about. You will have action on well over 100 games during the season with our system, so enjoy the excitement!

Every week the site will be updated with our picks and our current point balance. If we are going to be your point betting buddy, then let's do it!! If not, follow along with us and see if you and your buddy can make a bigger Cash Cow!!

Starting Balance

200

Current Balance

Last Week (+/-)

Total Yield (%)

-76.0%

We end our crappy season with a bang. It could have been a good week if Favre hadn't returned to the Favre of old. Retire, already. We will post our Super Bowl pick soon. The way this season has gone, we will probably lose it all.

Get updated NFL betting Lines and FREE NFL Picks as well as a bookmaker bonus code at Doc's Sports. A trusted name in handicapping since 1971.

Best Bets (All-In) - Super Bowl

New Orleans / Indianapolis Colts over 56.5 [1 point to win 0.91]

We don't think the offenses will not disappoint in this game, so we put the half of our remaining balance on the over. It is not looking likely that Freeney will be much of a factor which should help the Saint offense.

Indianapolis Colts -4.5 [1 point to win 0.91]

Manning needs a second Super Bowl vicotry to cement his place in history as one of the NFL all-time greats. Our prediction is that the Colts win a high scoring affair by the score of 34-27. So, half of our remaining balance will be placed on the Colts -4.5 points.

We Agree (6-8% Wager) - Super Bowl

If You Like It, We Like It (3-5% Wager) - Divisional Playoffs

Rooting Interest Only (1-2% Wager) - Divisional Playoffs

Suicide Pool Picks - Week 17

1. Baltimore Ravens over Oakland Raiders

There have been plenty of upsets this season and Oakland has been on the winning end of a few of them, but we just don't see the Ravens losing this one.

2. Minnesota Vikings over New York Giants

The Vikings not only need this game to possibly get a first round BYE, but they need this game to gain some positive momentum heading into the playoffs. The Giants are ready to pack things up and prepare for next season.

3. Tennessee Titans over Seattle Seahawks

Chris Johnson wants to surpass the 2,000 yard mark and the Titans want to finish off this season on a high note. Seattle has been one of the worst teams down the stretch while the Titans have been one of the best.

Potential Upset: Cincinnati Bengals over New York Jets

The Bengals have nothing to play for, but we don't trust Sanchez and the Jets at all. Not at all.

Potential Upset: Philadelphia Eagles ove Dallas Cowboys

We remember what the Eagles did to the Cowboys in the last week of 2008 and we think that the Eagles are capable of doing it again in Dallas.

Picks monitored by BigGuy.com*

*Teaser picks are currently not monitored by BigGuy.

We at Football Cash Cow are big-time fantasy football enthusiasts. We have been participating in an online fantasy football league since 1997. Finding a trusted resource for waiver wire picks and start/bench options is very important to a successful season. We hope our site becomes one of those valuable resources.

Please visit every Tuesday for our waiver wire suggestions. Thursdays, we will post our start/bench list for the week. Our goal is not to point out the obvious choices. We hope to provide information that will keep you a step ahead of your opponents.

Visit our site weekly and make your fantasy league a Cash Cow!

Here are our waiver wire selections for week 17.

Get updated NFL betting Lines and FREE NFL Picks as well as a bookmaker bonus code at Doc's Sports. A trusted name in handicapping since 1971.

Waiver Wire Picks - Week 17

Devin Aromashodu - Chicago Bears

Jake Cutler finally found a target he likes that is not on the other team. The Bears go against the Lions the last game of the season, so Aromashadu might be able to give you one more good performance this season.

Arian Foster - Houston Texans

Many fantasy owners got screwed when Foster fumbled early in week 15 and never returned to the field. Well, after most of you dropped Foster like a hot potato, he managed to have a solid week with 97 yardsand a touchdown. Pick him up and throw him in against the Patriots if you dare.

Maurice Morris - Detroit Lions

There is a good chance that Morris will get enough touches against a shaky Bear defense to do some damage.

Matt Bryant - Atlanta Falcons

Bryant should be able to get several opportunities against Tampa Bay.

Start List - Week 16

Alex Smith – San Francisco 49ers

Smith had been on a good run before being stymied by the Eagles defense last week. This week he will be at home against the Lions. Smith should be able to throw for over 200 yards and 2 scores.

Chad Henne – Maimi Dolphins

Henne is averaging over 300 yards a game over his last three games and he will probably need to air it out to keep up with Schaub and the Texans. Henne is capable of a 250 yard performance with a score at home this week.

Wes Welker – New England Patriots

You are probably starting Welker if he is on your roster anyway, but he is coming off a disappointing performance against Buffalo last week. Look for Welker to get his first score in 8 weeks to go along with his typical plethora of reception and yards.

Robert Meachem – New Orleans Saints

Meachem has cooled off considerably the last 2 weeks which may be negatively affecting your playoffs. We think he will rebound nicely against a Tampa team that has considerable problems in the secondary.

Jerome Harrison – Cleveland Browns

After that huge 286 yard performance last week, we have to recommend Harrison against the Raiders this week.

Jason Snelling – Atlanta Falcons

It doesn’t appear the Michael Turner will be returning to the field this week, which will give Snelling ample opportunity against a very suspect Bills rush defense. Snelling will rack up 80+ yards and a score if Turner can’t go.

Beanie Wells – Arizona Cardinals

Wells has been running the ball very well over the last 2 weeks and he goes against a poor Rams run defense this week. We think Beanie keeps it going this week with another 100 yards performance and potentially another score.

Jermichael Finley – Green Bay Packers

Finley has been one of the hottest tight ends in the league over the last month as he clearly had become one of Favre’s favorite targets.

Ricky Schmitt – San Francisco 49ers

If you are a real gambling man, Ricky Schmitt replaces Joe Nedney this week for the 49ers matchup against the Lions. Schmitt has never attempted a field goal in a regular season NFL contest, but we think he will attempt 2 or 3 in this one. The big question is will he make all of those attempts?

Cincinnati Bengals Defense

The Bengals have lost two in a row and need to right the ship this week against the Chiefs at home. We think they will and the defense will thrive.

Bench List - Week 16

Eli Manning – New York Giants

The Panthers pass defense has been very solid this season and the Giants might have more success on the ground this week. Eli will have a mediocre day with only around 200 yards passing with 1 touchdown toss.

Chris Chambers – Kansas City Chiefs

Chambers had his second 100 yard day with the Chiefs last week as Dwayne Bowe returned after a 4 game suspension. We don’t think he will fare as well in Cincinnati this week. Chambers stat line will probably look something like 4-60-0 this week.

Steve Smith – New York Giants

Steve Smith has had an impressive season and has an excellent chance to haul in 100 receptions by season’s end. That being said, we don’t expect a huge week against the Panthers with week.

Rashard Mendenhall – Pittsburgh Steelers

Mendenhall will have to earn his yards against a highly motivated Ravens defense this week. He did manage over 100 total yards in week 12 against the Ravens, but Mendenhall has not looked the same the last 2 weeks while dealing with hip issues.

Matt Forte – Chicago Bears

Forte has been a major disappointment this year and he isn’t getting anywhere near our starting lineup against the stout Minnesota run defense.

Kellen Winslow – Tampa Bay Buccaneers

The New Orleans defense has blanketed opposing tight ends all season long and held Winslow to 29 yards back in week 11. Winslow hasn’t scored in 6 weeks and the Saints more than capable of extending that streak to 7 weeks.

John Kasay – Carolina Panthers

The Giants are back in the playoff hunt and their defense seems rejuvenated. It will be a tough week for Kasay and the Panther offense.

Denver Broncos Defense

The Broncos will be playing their heart out in Philly this week, but the Eagles just have too many weapons on offense.

Welcome to The Football Cash Cow 2009 Fantasy Projections!

Well our initial projections are complete, but we will be constantly updating as the preseason progresses; so make sure to check back regularly for updates before you draft this season.

Check back throughout the season for waiver wire and start/bench advice.

The Quarterbacks

			Passing			Rushing
Rank	Player	Team	Yards	TD	INT	Yards	TDs
1	Drew Brees	Saints	4,650	30	15	50	1
2	Tom Brady	Patriots	4,250	34	12	40	0
3	Peyton Manning	Colts	4,200	29	13	25	2
4	Kurt Warner	Cardinals	4,350	29	15	0	0
5	Aaron Rodgers	Packers	4,000	28	14	150	3
6	Donovan McNabb	Eagles	3,750	25	12	175	2
7	Philip Rivers	Chargers	3,550	28	14	100	1
8	Jay Cutler	Bears	3,800	23	16	175	1
9	David Garrard	Jaguars	3,350	22	14	275	3
10	Tony Romo	Cowboys	3,500	25	15	75	1
11	Matt Schaub	Texans	3,500	20	11	75	1
12	Matt Hasselbeck	Seahawks	3,450	24	14	50	0
13	Carson Palmer	Bengals	3,450	25	16	50	0
14	Matt Ryan	Falcons	3,550	19	13	100	1
15	Jason Campbell	Redskins	3,300	15	8	250	2
16	Eli Manning	Giants	3,300	22	13	25	1
17	Ben Roethlisberger	Steelers	3,250	22	16	125	2
18	Matt Cassel	Chiefs	3,000	20	13	200	2
19	Brett Favre	Vikings	3,200	19	15	50	0
20	Kyle Orton	Broncos	3,000	19	12	50	1
21	Trent Edwards	Buffalo	3,000	15	12	125	2
22	Shaun Hill	49ers	2,900	20	18	150	2
23	Jake Delhomme	Panthers	3,050	17	13	25	1
24	JaMarcus Russell	Raiders	2,850	15	10	150	2
25	Chad Pennington	Dolphions	2,900	16	9	50	1
26	Joe Flacco	Ravens	2,900	16	13	150	1
27	Marc Bulger	Rams	2,600	16	12	25	0
36	Byron Leftwich	Bucs	2,500	16	12	50	1
29	Kerry Collins	Titans	2,450	14	8	50	0
30	Mark Sanchez	Jets	2,675	15	16	75	0
31	Matthew Stafford	Lions	2,200	15	13	50	1
32	Brady Quinn	Browns	2,200	12	15	100	2
33	Daunte Culpepper	Lions	800	4	4	50	1
34	Luke McCown	Bucs	500	4	4	25	0
35	Sage Rosenfels	Vikings	250	2	2	25	0
36	Alex Smith	49ers	250	2	3	25	0
37	Tarvaris Jackson	Vikings	0	0	0	0	0

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The Running Backs

			Rushing		Receiving
Rank	Player	Team	Yards	TD	Yards	TDs
1	Adrian Peterson	Vikings	1,800	12	175	1
2	Maurice Jones-Drew	Jaguars	1,250	14	525	2
3	Matt Forte	Bears	1,300	10	450	3
4	Frank Gore	49ers	1,250	10	475	3
5	Michael Turner	Falcons	1,550	14	50	1
6	DeAngelo Williams	Panthers	1,400	13	150	2
7	LaDainian Tomlinson	Chargers	1,125	9	400	2
8	Steven Jackson	Rams	1,125	8	450	2
9	Steve Slaton	Texans	1,175	8	350	2
10	Brian Westbrook	Eagles	950	7	475	4
11	Chris Johnson	Titans	1,200	8	275	2
12	Marion Barber	Cowboys	950	9	400	2
13	Clinton Portis	Redskins	1,250	8	200	1
14	Brandon Jacobs	Giants	1,100	12	50	0
15	Kevin Smith	Lions	1,075	7	300	1
16	Ronnie Brown	Dolphins	1,000	8	250	1
17	Thomas Jones	Jets	1,075	8	175	1
18	Marshawn Lynch	Bills	950	8	225	2
19	Darren McFadden	Raiders	950	6	325	2
20	Derrick Ward	Bucs	900	6	350	2
21	Joseph Addai	Colts	900	7	200	2
22	Reggie Bush	Saints	500	4	600	5
23	Ryan Grant	Packers	1,100	6	150	0
24	Pierre Thomas	Saints	800	8	200	2
25	Willie Parker	Steelers	850	6	100	1
26	Ray Rice	Ravens	650	5	300	2
27	Cedric Benson	Bengals	950	3	175	1
28	Chris Wells	Cardinals	900	6	100	0
29	Tim Hightower	Cardinals	650	7	225	1
30	Earnest Graham	Bucs	750	5	225	1
31	Jamal Lewis	Browns	875	4	150	1
32	LenDale White	Titans	675	10	25	0
33	Ahmad Bradshaw	Giants	650	4	225	3
34	Knowshon Moreno	Broncos	725	5	200	1
35	Julius Jones	Seahawks	900	4	125	0
36	Darren Sproles	Chargers	400	2	400	5
37	Larry Johnson	Chiefs	700	5	100	1
38	Jonathan Stewart	Panthers	700	6	50	0
39	Leon Washington	Jets	450	4	300	2
40	Felix Jones	Cowboys	525	4	200	2
41	Le'Ron McClain	Ravens	600	6	100	0
42	LeSean McCoy	Eagles	500	4	200	2
43	Ladell Betts	Redskins	350	2	375	1
44	Fred Taylor	Patriots	600	3	100	0
45	Fred Jackson	Bills	475	3	150	1
46	James Davis	Browns	400	3	150	2
47	Willis McGahee	Ravens	400	4	125	1
48	Edgerrin James	Seahawks	400	3	150	1
49	Justin Fargas	Raiders	450	3	25	0
50	Rashard Mendenhall	Steelers	350	1	100	1

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The Wide Receivers

			Receiving
Rank	Player	Team	Rec.	Yards	TDs
1	Andre Johnson	Texans	108	1,550	12
2	Larry Fitzgerald	Cardinals	92	1,375	12
3	Randy Moss	Patriots	86	1,250	13
4	Reggie Wayne	Colts	96	1,325	9
5	Greg Jennings	Packers	77	1,225	10
6	T.J. Houshmandzadeh	Seahawks	102	1,200	8
7	Roddy White	Falcons	84	1,250	8
8	Steve Smith	Panthers	80	1,300	7
9	Calvin Johnson	Lions	74	1,175	9
10	Dwayne Bowe	Chiefs	89	1,125	8
11	Braylon Edwards	Browns	65	1,100	10
12	Marques Colston	Saints	78	1,125	8
13	Terrell Owens	Bills	76	1,125	8
14	Wes Welker	Patriots	106	1,100	5
15	Eddie Royal	Broncos	82	1,050	7
16	Anquan Boldin	Cardinals	74	1,000	8
17	Torry Holt	Jaguars	74	1,050	7
18	Roy Williams	Cowboys	62	1,000	7
19	Santonio Holmes	Steelers	52	1,050	7
20	Santana Moss	Redskins	70	1,000	6
21	Chad Ochocinco	Bengals	65	1,000	6
22	Anthony Gonzalez	Colts	70	975	6
23	Lee Evans	Bills	61	1,025	5
24	Lance Moore	Saints	64	875	7
25	Brandon Marshall	Broncos	70	900	6
26	Hines Ward	Steelers	70	875	6
27	Mark Clayton	Ravens	58	925	6
28	Antonio Bryant	Bucs	68	925	5
29	Donald Driver	Packers	67	925	5
30	Justin Gage	Titans	58	900	6
31	Derrick Mason	Ravens	70	900	5
32	Vincent Jackson	Chargers	55	950	5
33	Bernard Berrian	Vikings	59	900	5
34	Laveranues Coles	Bengals	66	850	5
35	Donnie Avery	Rams	60	875	5
36	Jerricho Cotchery	Jets	65	900	4
37	DeSean Jackson	Eagles	58	900	4
38	Steve Breaston	Cardinals	68	825	4
39	Michael Crabtree	49ers	50	850	5
40	Devin Hester	Bears	60	800	5
41	Kevin Walter	Texans	56	800	5
42	Ted Ginn	Dolphins	55	850	4
43	Chris Chambers	Chargers	50	800	5
44	Mushin Muhammad	Panthers	55	800	4
45	Chris Henry	Bengals	42	675	7
46	Domenik Hixon	Giants	50	750	5
47	Kevin Curtis	Eagles	50	750	5
48	Issac Bruce	49ers	50	750	5
49	Nate Washington	Titans	49	700	5
50	Devery Henderson	Saints	38	725	4
51	Steve Smith	Giants	60	650	3
52	Nate Burleson	Seahawks	52	550	4
53	Sidney Rice	Vikings	40	550	5
54	Mark Bradley	Chiefs	40	500	4
55	Percy Harvin	Vikings	35	525	4
56	Troy Williamson	Jaguars	36	500	3

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The Tight Ends

			Receiving
Rank	Player	Team	Rec.	Yards	TDs
1	Jason Witten	Cowboys	85	1,000	7
2	Tony Gonzalez	Falcons	77	850	8
3	Dallas Clark	Colts	72	825	7
4	Antonio Gates	Chargers	62	750	6
5	Chris Cooley	Redskins	75	775	4
6	Zach Miller	Raiders	62	800	4
7	Greg Olsen	Bears	58	675	5
8	John Carlson	Seahawks	55	675	5
9	Kellen Winslow	Bucs	56	650	5
10	Owen Daniels	Texans	60	750	3
11	Dustin Keller	Jets	50	600	4
12	Visanthe Shiacoe	Vikings	38	525	6
13	Heath Miller	Steelers	50	550	4
14	Bo Scaife	Titans	55	575	3
15	Kevin Boss	Giants	40	475	5
16	Jeremy Shockey	Saints	52	525	3
17	Anthony Fasano	Dolphins	37	475	5
18	Vernon Davis	49ers	45	475	4
19	Marcedes Lewis	Jaguars	40	475	3
20	Tony Scheffler	Broncos	38	475	3
21	Brent Celek	Eagles	40	450	3
22	Donald Lee	Packers	40	350	4
23	Todd Heap	Ravens	35	375	3
24	Randy McMichael	Rams	28	350	3
25	L.J. Smith	Ravens	35	350	2
26	Chris Baker	Patriots	30	300	3
27	Zach Miller	Jaguars	18	200	1
28	Ben Watson	Patriots	15	150	1

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Defense/Special Teams

Rank	Team	Sacks	Fumble Rec.	INTs	TDs	Special Team TDs
1	Vikings	38	14	14	9	1
2	Ravens	32	10	21	7	1
3	Steelers	46	12	16	5	1
4	Cowboys	48	13	11	6	1
5	Eagles	41	12	16	6	2
6	Giants	46	8	16	6	1
7	Bears	32	11	19	5	3
8	Jets	44	12	18	6	2
9	Titans	42	11	19	4	0
10	Packers	30	8	20	5	2
11	Dolphins	38	12	16	5	1
12	Chargers	34	10	17	4	2
13	Seahawks	36	12	11	4	1
14	Colts	31	12	16	3	1
15	Patriots	35	10	15	4	1
16	Bucs	29	10	15	5	1
17	Cardinals	29	14	14	4	1
18	Panthers	34	12	11	5	0
19	Redskins	28	7	18	4	1
20	Raiders	32	8	17	2	3
21	Texans	33	11	12	3	2
22	49ers	34	9	13	4	0
23	Bills	27	9	12	4	1
24	Falcons	33	8	11	3	1
25	Jaguars	33	6	12	3	1

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The Kickers

Rank	Player	Team	FG 0-39	FG 40-49	FG 50+	FG Missed	PATs
1	Rob Bironas	Titans	15	15	3	6	38
2	Jason Elam	Atlanta	18	11	2	4	45
3	Mason Crosby	Packers	20	7	4	6	45
4	Kris Brown	Texans	20	9	3	4	40
5	Robbie Gould	Bears	21	10	0	4	44
6	David Akers	Eagles	21	7	2	5	43
7	Joe Nedney	49ers	20	10	1	4	38
8	Neil Rackers	Cardinals	17	8	3	6	47
9	Stephen Gostkowski	Patriots	20	5	1	4	55
10	John Kasay	Panthers	15	11	1	3	44
11	John Carney	Saints	12	10	2	4	53
12	Nick Folk	Cowboys	15	9	3	4	40
13	Josh Brown	Rams	14	11	5	6	27
14	Ryan Longwell	Vikings	15	8	4	5	39
15	Nate Kaeding	Chargers	22	5	1	5	43
16	Rian Lindell	Bills	16	8	2	6	39
17	Matt Prater	Broncos	14	7	4	7	35
18	Steven Hauschka	Vikings	16	6	3	9	39
19	Jason Hanson	Lions	10	8	6	2	27
20	Jeff Reed	Steelers	17	7	1	3	35
21	Mike Nugent	Bucs	19	7	1	7	33
22	Adam Vinatieri	Colts	15	6	1	5	46
23	Josh Scobee	Jaguars	13	8	2	6	37
24	Lawrence Tynes	Giants	16	7	0	5	36
25	Shayne Graham	Bengals	13	9	1	5	28
26	Garrett Hartley	Saints	0	0	0	0	0

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