Each year we like to play the NFL point game as a way to have an interest in a variety of football games throughout the NFL season.
Our NFL point betting philosophy is very simple: make many small wagers and make them with a knowledgeable buddy.
Typically, my buddy and I start the year with 50 points. We figure you could get at least a 10-20% bonus from an online betting site, so we make our opening balance approximately 120 points. Last year was a down year as we lost whatever we had left on the Super Bowl. 2006 wasn't our finest as we needed to double up on the Super Bowl to end up with a respectable 161 points. In 2005, we went into the Super Bowl with 420 points, the year before 380 points and the year before that 550 points! At the end of the year, we put the entire point balance on the Super Bowl. That choice is up to you.
Please adhere to the following rules...
Our NFL point betting philosophy is very simple: make many small wagers and make them with a knowledgeable buddy.
Typically, my buddy and I start the year with 50 points. We figure you could get at least a 10-20% bonus from an online betting site, so we make our opening balance approximately 120 points. Last year was a down year as we lost whatever we had left on the Super Bowl. 2006 wasn't our finest as we needed to double up on the Super Bowl to end up with a respectable 161 points. In 2005, we went into the Super Bowl with 420 points, the year before 380 points and the year before that 550 points! At the end of the year, we put the entire point balance on the Super Bowl. That choice is up to you.
Please adhere to the following rules...
- You must have a buddy to bet with. Someone to keep you in check and make sure you do not deviate from the plan. Fortunately, we can be just that for you!
- You must completely agree on the wager. There may be a week that you and your buddy only agree on 3 or 4 teams. That is fine.
- You must diversify your wagers, much like an investment portfolio. We recommend wagering on 5-6 teams a week. We frequently incorporate teasers and parlays into our weekly wagers as well.
- Bet more (i.e. 6-10% of available balance) on bets you agree strongly and less (i.e. 1-5% of available balance) on ones you aren't as confident in.
- Never bet more that 50% of what you have available in your point balance at any one time.
- One bet should never constitute more than 10% of your available balance.
- Be patient. There will be some bad weeks, especially early in the year. It's ok; you are not betting more than 50% of your point balance so you can make it up the next week. Our balance typically goes down before it shoots up. As a result, we strongly recommend betting lightly early in the year until you see some trends develop.
- You must go find a reputable website to obtain your betting line information from.
- Finally, have fun. We use our strategy so we can have a rooting interest in games we would otherwise not care too much about. You will have action on well over 100 games during the season with our system, so enjoy the excitement!
Starting Balance
125
Current Balance
366
Last Week (+/-)
34
Total Yield (%)
192.8%
We split our Super Bowl picks, but hit on our parlay [1 point to win 1.51], which put us ahead for the week. Up almost 200% for the year, so definitely a solid performance.
Thanks for visiting Football Cash Cow throughout the season and we hope you will frequent the site next season.
Thanks for visiting Football Cash Cow throughout the season and we hope you will frequent the site next season.
Best Bets (25% Each Wager) - Super Bowl
Pittsburgh Steelers -6.5 [1 point to win 0.95]
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Well, we were contemplating taking the Cardinals in this game; but the numbers just favor the Steelers too much. When teams with #1 defenses make it to the Super Bowl, their record is 12-3 and they covered in 11 of those 15 games. Pittsburgh has played a much tougher schedule (.598 winning % in 2007) with 8 games against 2008 playoff teams vs. the Cards schedule (.465 winning % in 2007) with 6 games against 2008 playoff teams. Plus, this team has the experience factor.
Pittsburgh Steelers -0.5 / Over 40.5 [1 point to win 0.91]
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Once again, we do think the Steelers are going to be able to take the Cardinals.
Every Cardinal game has gone over 40.5 points this season. Thats right... every one of them. We are predicting a 31-24 win for the Steelers.
Every Cardinal game has gone over 40.5 points this season. Thats right... every one of them. We are predicting a 31-24 win for the Steelers.
Pittsburgh Steelers ML / Under 3 Yards for Edgerrin James' First Rush [1 point to win 1.51]
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An Odd combination on this parlay, but we thought we would give it a shot. As previously stated, we like the Steelers to win Super Bowl XLIII. The Pittsburgh defense is extremely solid against the run and we think they will be ready to stuff the Cardinals first rushing attempt.
Prop Bet: Anquan Boldin 1st reception under 10.5 yards [1 point to win 0.81]
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Pittsburgh has one of the best tackling defenses in the league and Boldin is the Cardinal's possession receiver. Boldin has missed 3 of the last 5 games, so we could see them tossing a nice safe pass to Boldin to get him settled. 74 of Boldin's 89 receptions this season were caught 10 yards or under from the line of scrimmage and we hope the Steelers will bring him down quickly.
We Agree (6-8% Wager) - Super Bowl
If You Like It, We Like It (3-5% Wager) - Super Bowl
Rooting Interest Only (1-2% Wager) - Super Bowl
Suicide Pool Picks - Week 17
1. New England Patriots
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No way the Patriots are going to miss out on the playoffs because of a loss to the Buffalo Bills. Not going to happen.
2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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Again... We just can envision a scenario where Tampa loses to Oakland at home to miss the playoffs. Not going to happen.
3. Baltimore Ravens
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Once more... the Ravens need this game to make the playoffs and they should be able to take care of business against the disappointing Jaguars.
Potential Upset: Miami Dolphins over New York Jets
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The Jets will probably not make the playoffs even if they do win, but they will play their hearts out. The last thing they want is for Pennington to lead the Dolphins to the playoffs in their building. Word is they may be playing for their coach's job. That being said, we could see them losing.
Potential Upset: Chicago Bears over Houston Texans
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We do think Houston will play hard to try and reach .500, but they did just lose to Oakland. In addition, the Bears are theoretically in the playoff hunt. Chicago could win this one, so Houston is probably not the best suicide pool selection unless you are really stuck.
Picks monitored by BigGuy.com*
*Teaser picks are currently not monitored by BigGuy.



